Recent Israeli security assessments indicate that Iran is preparing for a broad, coordinated offensive against Israel. The plan would combine action by Iran with Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas, Yemen’s Houthi movement, and Iran-aligned militias in Iraq into a single, simultaneous campaign, rather than having these groups join a conflict after it begins. Officials state this approach is modeled on lessons drawn from the October 2023 attack.
Senior figures in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and its Quds Force have reportedly met with commanders from these allied groups to discuss expanding coordination, while Iranian military advisers are working on the ground to strengthen joint planning. Reports also indicate an intensified effort by Iran to rebuild drone and missile stockpiles depleted during earlier conflicts this year with Israel and the United States, which included strikes on military and energy infrastructure.
While Western and regional governments have not publicly confirmed the specific multi-front plan and Iranian officials have not directly addressed the reports, countries like India are watching the standoff closely due to potential impacts on oil prices and worker safety. Analysts caution that such intelligence assessments do not guarantee an attack will happen, but they highlight the continued fragility of the regional security situation.